GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/7/2024, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FCSB · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FCSB are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC Midtjylland are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FCSB hold a 31.6-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while FCSB holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FCSB

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

FCSB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FCSBDWDLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FC MidtjyllandLLWWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FCSBFC Midtjylland
40.5Attack0.0
57.1Defence50.0
57.1Form0.0
53.1Power21.5
1.41xG0.94
View match centre →