Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FCSB · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
FCSB are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Drita are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FCSB hold a 31.6-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while FCSB holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FCSB
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
FCSB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20