Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bologna · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
FCSB are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Bologna are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bologna hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 57.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Bologna holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bologna
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
Bologna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80