Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FCSB · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
FCSB are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Aberdeen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FCSB hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while FCSB holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FCSB
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
FCSB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80