FCI Levadia IIvs
Tartu Welco
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 9/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tartu Welco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-3 (7%), 1-3 (7%), 2-4 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FCI Levadia II 0-0 Tartu Welco
Original prediction
Tartu Welco
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.27 | 27.7% | 23.0% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.14 | 21.9% | 16.6% | -5.3 pts |
| Away | 1.79 | 50.5% | 60.5% | 10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.14 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–37%
- 2.1–37%
- 3.2–46%
Predicted outcome
Tartu Welco
Probability
60.5%
Model confidence
60.5%
Tartu Welco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 16 · avg 2.40/3.20
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80