GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 6/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tartu Welco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Lowconfidence

FCI Levadia II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tartu Welco are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Welco hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 70.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.2% in the Esiliiga A, while Tartu Welco holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tartu Welco

Probability

59.2%

Model confidence

7.2%

Tartu Welco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FCI Levadia IIWWLWL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tartu WelcoWWWWD

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FCI Levadia IITartu Welco
65.2Attack97.0
42.4Defence54.5
47.0Form68.2
52.0Power70.4
1.88xG3.12
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