GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 3/9/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FCI Levadia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

FCI Levadia II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while K-Järve JK Järve are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FCI Levadia II hold a 27.5-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 24.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.6% in the Esiliiga A, while FCI Levadia II holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FCI Levadia II

Probability

77.6%

Model confidence

77.6%

FCI Levadia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FCI Levadia IIDWWLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
K-Järve JK JärveWLLLL

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FCI Levadia IIK-Järve JK Järve
65.2Attack46.3
42.4Defence0.0
47.0Form18.5
52.0Power24.5
4.25xG1.41
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