Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Lugano · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
FC Zurich are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Lugano are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Lugano hold a 61.7-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 91.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.5% in the Super League, while FC Lugano holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Lugano
Probability
61.5%
Model confidence
61.5%
FC Lugano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00