FC Zurichvs
BSC Young Boys
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Super League · 9/1/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BSC Young Boys · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-3 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Zurich 2-4 BSC Young Boys
Original prediction
BSC Young Boys
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.87 | 19.1% | 23.8% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.60 | 20.2% | 20.7% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 1.54 | 60.6% | 55.5% | -5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
BSC Young Boys
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
BSC Young Boys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 19 · GA 7 · avg 3.80/1.40