FC Winterthurvs
Stade Nyonnais
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Challenge League · 10/23/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Winterthur · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: FC Winterthur 3-0 Stade Nyonnais, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Winterthur 4-0 Stade Nyonnais
Original prediction
FC Winterthur
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.19 | 76.4% | 83.0% | 6.7 pts |
| Draw | 6.22 | 14.7% | 10.7% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 10.15 | 9.0% | 6.3% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Projected Score
FC Winterthur 3–0 Stade Nyonnais
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
FC Winterthur
Probability
83.0%
Model confidence
83.0%
FC Winterthur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20