GGOALVIO

Switzerland · Super League · 8/12/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Winterthur · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Winterthur are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Grasshoppers are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Winterthur hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 25.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the Super League, while FC Winterthur holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Winterthur

Probability

49.7%

Model confidence

49.7%

FC Winterthur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC WinterthurLLDWW

GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
GrasshoppersWDLLL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
FC WinterthurGrasshoppers
52.6Attack33.3
37.7Defence22.2
43.0Form11.1
46.7Power25.8
2.17xG1.49
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