GGOALVIO

FC Winterthur logoFC WinterthurvsFC Luzern logoFC Luzern

COMPLETED

Switzerland · Super League · 7/22/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Winterthur · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

FC Winterthur are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while FC Luzern are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Winterthur hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 23.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.5% in the Super League, while FC Winterthur holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Winterthur

Probability

51.5%

Model confidence

51.5%

FC Winterthur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC WinterthurWWWWW

GF 22 · GA 1 · avg 4.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
FC LuzernWWWWW

GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
FC WinterthurFC Luzern
52.6Attack33.3
37.7Defence11.1
43.0Form11.1
46.7Power23.1
2.26xG1.48
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