FC WIL 1900vs
Stade Nyonnais
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Challenge League · 9/18/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC WIL 1900 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC WIL 1900 5-0 Stade Nyonnais
Original prediction
FC WIL 1900
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 63.4% | 55.3% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.52 | 20.1% | 21.2% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 5.51 | 16.5% | 23.5% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
FC WIL 1900
Probability
55.3%
Model confidence
55.3%
FC WIL 1900 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40