FC WIL 1900vs
Rapperswil
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Challenge League · 10/23/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC WIL 1900 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC WIL 1900 2-2 Rapperswil
Original prediction
FC WIL 1900
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 45.1% | 42.8% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.7% | 21.4% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.01 | 30.2% | 35.8% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.69 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
FC WIL 1900
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
FC WIL 1900 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60