GGOALVIO

Switzerland · Challenge League · 7/30/2023, 12:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Vaduz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC WIL 1900 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while FC Vaduz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Vaduz hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (35.0 v 52.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Challenge League, while FC Vaduz holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Vaduz

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

44.4%

FC Vaduz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC WIL 1900WLDWD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
FC VaduzLDLLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FC WIL 1900FC Vaduz
66.7Attack62.0
0.0Defence49.1
33.3Form45.4
35.0Power52.1
1.74xG2.15
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