GGOALVIO

FC WIL 1900 logoFC WIL 1900vsFC Aarau logoFC Aarau

SCHEDULED

Switzerland · Challenge League · 8/31/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

FC WIL 1900 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.20 conceded, while FC Aarau are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Aarau hold a 8.8-point power-rating edge (35.0 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Challenge League, favouring a draw with 10.9% confidence, a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

25.0%

Model confidence

10.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC WIL 1900LLWLW

GF 11 · GA 16 · avg 2.20/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FC AarauWDLLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC WIL 1900FC Aarau
66.7Attack33.3
0.0Defence44.4
33.3Form44.4
35.0Power43.8
1.81xG1.54
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