Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 202613:00Last updated 10:04
FC WIL 1900

FC WIL 1900

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LW
32
Full time
Brühl

Brühl

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

FC WIL 190040%
Draw35%
Brühl25%
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
FC WIL 1900
40%
Draw
35%
Brühl
25%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
FC WIL 1900
86
Brühl
34
Defence
FC WIL 1900
14
Brühl
66
Momentum
FC WIL 1900
50
Brühl
33
Danger (xG)
FC WIL 1900
2.25
Brühl
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 2.18 xG for FC WIL 1900 and 1.43 xG for Brühl — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Brühl holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. FC WIL 1900's Attack Score (86) exceeds Brühl's Defensive Stability (66), and Brühl's attack (34) similarly tests FC WIL 1900's defence (14). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 3.62 — high attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (FC WIL 1900)
2.25
avg per match
xG for (Brühl)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (FC WIL 1900)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (Brühl)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
FC WIL 1900FC WIL 1900
LW
BrühlBrühl
DW

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
FC WIL 190040%
Draw35%
Brühl25%

FC WIL 1900 leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

FC WIL 1900 Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

FC WIL 1900 host Brühl in Friendlies Clubs. FC WIL 1900 have recorded LLWLWW in recent matches while Brühl arrive with a run of LWLDLW. These sides have met 5 times recently, averaging 4.0 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 2.18 for FC WIL 1900 and 1.43 for Brühl. The gap of 0.75 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • FC WIL 1900 have been conceding 1.71 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • The head-to-head record is competitive — the underdog has won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Recent form

FC WIL 1900

FC WIL 1900

L
vs FC Vaduz
15 May 2026
13
W
@ Bellinzona
11 May 2026
42
Brühl

Brühl

D
@ FC Winterthur
14 Jul 2026
11
W
vs Zürich II
16 May 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win FC WIL 1900 vs Brühl?

GoalVio's model predicts FC WIL 1900 to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for FC WIL 1900 vs Brühl?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in FC WIL 1900 vs Brühl?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC WIL 1900 vs Brühl?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more