GGOALVIO

Romania · Liga I · 8/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Oţelul · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

FC Voluntari 2-2 Oţelul

Original prediction

Oţelul

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.5036.9%25.6%-11.4 pts
Draw3.1529.3%26.6%-2.7 pts
Away2.7433.7%47.8%14.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.15 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

14.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–114%
  2. 2.1–113%
  3. 3.0–212%

Predicted outcome

Oţelul

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Oţelul has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC VoluntariLWLLW

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
OţelulWLDLD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
FC VoluntariOţelul
27.8Attack38.9
11.1Defence66.7
22.2Form50.0
24.4Power55.0
0.78xG1.54
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