FC Voluntarivs
Arges Pitesti
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga I · 9/7/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arges Pitesti · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FC Voluntari 0-1 Arges Pitesti, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Voluntari 1-0 Arges Pitesti
Original prediction
Arges Pitesti
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.72 | 33.9% | 25.9% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.88 | 32.1% | 29.8% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 34.0% | 44.3% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.3 pts
Projected Score
FC Voluntari 0–1 Arges Pitesti
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Arges Pitesti
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Arges Pitesti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60