FC Volendamvs
VVV Venlo
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 9/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VVV Venlo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-3 (6%), 1-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Volendam 3-2 VVV Venlo
Original prediction
VVV Venlo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 50.0% | 38.1% | -11.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.09 | 22.6% | 20.5% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.37 | 27.4% | 41.4% | 14.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–36%
- 3.1–26%
Predicted outcome
VVV Venlo
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
VVV Venlo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40