FC Volendamvs
Vitesse
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 10/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Volendam · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Volendam 2-0 Vitesse
Original prediction
FC Volendam
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 39.4% | 42.7% | 3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 24.0% | 22.4% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.53 | 36.6% | 34.8% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
FC Volendam
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
FC Volendam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40