FC Volendamvs
Jong Utrecht
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 10/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Volendam · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 4-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Volendam 6-2 Jong Utrecht
Original prediction
FC Volendam
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 55.8% | 57.7% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.24 | 21.9% | 21.1% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 4.15 | 22.3% | 21.2% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.4–18%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
FC Volendam
Probability
57.7%
Model confidence
57.7%
FC Volendam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00