FC Volendamvs
Dordrecht
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 8/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Volendam · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Volendam 6-1 Dordrecht
Original prediction
FC Volendam
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 46.4% | 42.6% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 25.6% | 25.9% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.31 | 28.1% | 31.5% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
FC Volendam
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
FC Volendam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60