FC Vitebskvs
ML Vitebsk
COMPLETEDBelarus · Premier League · 10/24/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ML Vitebsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FC Vitebsk 0-0 ML Vitebsk, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Vitebsk 0-2 ML Vitebsk
Original prediction
ML Vitebsk
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.04 | 13.0% | 20.2% | 7.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.03 | 22.7% | 28.2% | 5.5 pts |
| Away | 1.42 | 64.3% | 51.6% | -12.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.7 pts
Projected Score
FC Vitebsk 0–0 ML Vitebsk
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
ML Vitebsk
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
ML Vitebsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC VitebskWDLWD
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ML VitebskWWWWD
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FC VitebskML Vitebsk
38.7Attack69.4
72.0Defence75.0
53.3Form73.6
55.3Power72.6
0.59xG1.12