FC Vitebskvs
Belshina
COMPLETEDBelarus · Premier League · 9/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Vitebsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FC Vitebsk 1-0 Belshina, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Vitebsk 1-1 Belshina
Original prediction
FC Vitebsk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 54.5% | 56.2% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 25.4% | 25.7% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 4.60 | 20.2% | 18.1% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.66 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Projected Score
FC Vitebsk 1–0 Belshina
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
FC Vitebsk
Probability
56.2%
Model confidence
56.2%
FC Vitebsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC VitebskLWWLW
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
BelshinaDDLWD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
FC VitebskBelshina
35.3Attack29.2
68.6Defence35.4
51.0Form25.0
53.6Power32.1
1.56xG0.47