GGOALVIO

Germany · DFB Pokal · 8/12/2023, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Viktoria Koln · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

FC Viktoria Koln are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Werder Bremen are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Viktoria Koln hold a 24.2-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the DFB Pokal, while FC Viktoria Koln holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Viktoria Koln

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

44.5%

FC Viktoria Koln has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Viktoria KolnWDLWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Werder BremenDDDWW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FC Viktoria KolnWerder Bremen
50.0Attack66.7
33.3Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
47.8Power23.7
2.28xG1.67
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