FC Viktoria Kölnvs
1. FC Köln
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
1. FC Köln · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Viktoria Köln 2-2 1. FC Köln
Original prediction
1. FC Köln
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 09:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.59 | 20.1% | 26.0% | 5.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.91 | 18.8% | 24.8% | 6.0 pts |
| Away | 1.50 | 61.2% | 49.3% | -11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.90 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
1. FC Köln
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
1. FC Köln has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00