FC Viktoria Kölnvs
Verl
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Viktoria Köln · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 4-1 (8%), 3-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Viktoria Köln 3-1 Verl
Original prediction
FC Viktoria Köln
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 57.2% | 74.0% | 16.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.23 | 21.3% | 13.7% | -7.6 pts |
| Away | 4.20 | 21.5% | 12.3% | -9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.4–18%
- 3.3–08%
Predicted outcome
FC Viktoria Köln
Probability
74.0%
Model confidence
74.0%
FC Viktoria Köln has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80