FC Viktoria Kölnvs
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 10/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Viktoria Köln · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 4-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Viktoria Köln 2-2 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Original prediction
FC Viktoria Köln
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 60.9% | 55.0% | -5.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.41 | 20.5% | 23.4% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 4.86 | 18.6% | 21.5% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–011%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.4–09%
Predicted outcome
FC Viktoria Köln
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
FC Viktoria Köln has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 5 · avg 3.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20