FC Viktoria Kölnvs
Preußen Münster
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 8/30/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Viktoria Köln · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Viktoria Köln 4-1 Preußen Münster
Original prediction
FC Viktoria Köln
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.9% | 37.4% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.8% | 26.0% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 29.4% | 36.6% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
FC Viktoria Köln
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
FC Viktoria Köln has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20