FC Viktoria Kölnvs
Hansa Rostock
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 9/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hansa Rostock · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Viktoria Köln 4-0 Hansa Rostock
Original prediction
Hansa Rostock
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.72 | 33.3% | 37.7% | 4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.9% | 23.8% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.23 | 40.8% | 38.5% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Hansa Rostock
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Hansa Rostock has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40