FC Viktoria Kolnvs
FC Ingolstadt 04
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Viktoria Koln · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Viktoria Koln 3-0 FC Ingolstadt 04
Original prediction
FC Viktoria Koln
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.5% | 54.7% | 7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.0% | 22.3% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.27 | 27.6% | 23.0% | -4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
FC Viktoria Koln
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
FC Viktoria Koln has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20