Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Vaduz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Vaduz 3-1 Lausanne
Original prediction
FC Vaduz
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 40.8% | 40.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 25.3% | 24.1% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.76 | 33.8% | 35.8% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
FC Vaduz
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
FC Vaduz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC VaduzLWLDL
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
LausanneDLLWD
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FC VaduzLausanne
72.2Attack33.3
11.1Defence61.1
16.7Form33.3
34.3Power45.6
1.76xG1.66