FC Vaduzvs
Grasshoppers
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Super League · 8/30/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Vaduz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Vaduz 5-2 Grasshoppers
Original prediction
FC Vaduz
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 44.9% | 43.4% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 25.1% | 24.6% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.11 | 30.0% | 32.0% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
FC Vaduz
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
FC Vaduz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00