Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Sion · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Vaduz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while FC Sion are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Sion hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (52.1 v 72.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.6% in the Challenge League, while FC Sion holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Sion
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
55.6%
FC Sion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60