FC Vaduzvs
FC Basel 1893
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Super League · 10/11/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Basel 1893 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-3 (6%), 3-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Vaduz 3-0 FC Basel 1893
Original prediction
FC Basel 1893
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.55 | 36.4% | 37.0% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 23.7% | 21.5% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 40.0% | 41.5% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–36%
- 3.3–26%
Predicted outcome
FC Basel 1893
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
FC Basel 1893 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 10 · GA 17 · avg 2.00/3.40