GGOALVIO

Armenia · Premier League · 8/7/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Urartu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Urartu are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Ararat-Armenia are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ararat-Armenia hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Premier League, while FC Urartu holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Urartu

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

37.4%

FC Urartu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC UrartuLWLWL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Ararat-ArmeniaLWDDD

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
FC UrartuArarat-Armenia
66.7Attack100.0
55.6Defence33.3
44.4Form100.0
54.9Power83.3
1.74xG1.68
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