Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC UFA · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
FC UFA are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Murom are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and FC UFA hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (61.1 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the Second League A - Division A Gold, while FC UFA holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC UFA
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
FC UFA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50