Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
FC UFA are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Aktobe are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC UFA hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (48.7 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40