FC Tulsavs
Sacramento Republic
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 10/4/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FC Tulsa 0-0 Sacramento Republic, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Tulsa 1-1 Sacramento Republic
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.72 | 33.5% | 33.4% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.9% | 32.2% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 36.6% | 34.3% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.05 · Draw 2.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Projected Score
FC Tulsa 0–0 Sacramento Republic
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.2%
Model confidence
34.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC TulsaWDDLD
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sacramento RepublicWWDWD
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FC TulsaSacramento Republic
39.7Attack46.2
69.2Defence69.2
52.6Form55.1
55.2Power58.2
0.78xG0.78