FC Tulsavs
Rhode Island
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/30/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Tulsa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FC Tulsa 0-0 Rhode Island, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Tulsa 1-0 Rhode Island
Original prediction
FC Tulsa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.80 | 32.5% | 37.6% | 5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 29.1% | 28.8% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 38.3% | 33.5% | -4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Projected Score
FC Tulsa 0–0 Rhode Island
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
FC Tulsa
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
FC Tulsa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC TulsaWLLWW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Rhode IslandWLWLW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
FC TulsaRhode Island
41.7Attack52.6
68.3Defence61.4
53.3Form49.1
55.4Power54.6
1.04xG0.91