FC Tulsavs
Phoenix Rising
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 3/29/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
FC Tulsa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Phoenix Rising are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Tulsa hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40