FC Tulsavs
Oakland Roots
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Tulsa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FC Tulsa 0-0 Oakland Roots, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Tulsa 2-4 Oakland Roots
Original prediction
FC Tulsa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 46.3% | 47.1% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.1% | 29.5% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.44 | 26.6% | 23.4% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Projected Score
FC Tulsa 0–0 Oakland Roots
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
FC Tulsa
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
FC Tulsa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC TulsaDDWDD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Oakland RootsDDWWL
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FC TulsaOakland Roots
38.1Attack39.3
70.2Defence58.3
51.2Form41.7
54.6Power48.6
1.04xG0.63