GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/22/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Tulsa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

FC Tulsa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Las Vegas Lights are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Tulsa hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.0% in the USL Championship, while FC Tulsa holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Tulsa

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

16.0%

FC Tulsa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC TulsaDLWDW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Las Vegas LightsLDLWW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FC TulsaLas Vegas Lights
37.0Attack45.6
68.5Defence52.6
53.7Form45.6
54.7Power50.6
1.14xG0.78
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