GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 3/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yokohama F. Marinos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

FC Tokyo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Yokohama F. Marinos are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Yokohama F. Marinos hold a 27.8-point power-rating edge (25.2 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the J1 League, while Yokohama F. Marinos holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yokohama F. Marinos

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

11.8%

Yokohama F. Marinos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC TokyoLWDDW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Yokohama F. MarinosWLLLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC TokyoYokohama F. Marinos
50.0Attack66.7
0.0Defence33.3
16.7Form50.0
25.2Power53.0
1.48xG1.66
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