Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Urawa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Tokyo are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Urawa are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Urawa hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the J1 League, while Urawa holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Urawa
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
12.7%
Urawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40