FC Tokyovs
Parceiro Nagano
COMPLETEDJapan · Emperor Cup · 8/26/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Tokyo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Tokyo 6-0 Parceiro Nagano
Original prediction
FC Tokyo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.04 | 89.6% | 51.1% | -38.5 pts |
| Draw | 12.07 | 7.7% | 23.4% | 15.6 pts |
| Away | 35.18 | 2.6% | 25.5% | 22.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-38.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
FC Tokyo
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
FC Tokyo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20