FC Tokyovs
Mito Hollyhock
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 10/25/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Tokyo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FC Tokyo 2-0 Mito Hollyhock, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Tokyo 6-0 Mito Hollyhock
Original prediction
FC Tokyo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 72.0% | 76.7% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.14 | 18.3% | 16.1% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 9.64 | 9.7% | 7.1% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Projected Score
FC Tokyo 2–0 Mito Hollyhock
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
FC Tokyo
Probability
76.7%
Model confidence
76.7%
FC Tokyo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC TokyoDWLWW
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
Mito HollyhockLLWLW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FC TokyoMito Hollyhock
63.6Attack36.4
75.8Defence51.5
72.7Form27.3
69.8Power40.3
2.18xG0.47