FC Tokyovs
Mito Hollyhock
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 4/24/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Tokyo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Tokyo are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Mito Hollyhock are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mito Hollyhock hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (25.2 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the J1 League, while FC Tokyo holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Tokyo
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
FC Tokyo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00