GGOALVIO

Japan · J-League Cup · 3/26/2023, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Tokyo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Tokyo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kyoto Sanga are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Tokyo hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (55.1 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the J-League Cup, while FC Tokyo holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Tokyo

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

46.1%

FC Tokyo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC TokyoDWLLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Kyoto SangaWWLWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC TokyoKyoto Sanga
41.7Attack50.0
70.8Defence38.9
54.2Form50.0
55.1Power46.3
1.60xG0.89
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